Guosheng Securities Xiongyuan: We can be more optimistic about the policy and the market. "The biggest highlight of this Politburo meeting of the Chinese Communist Party is' face the problem and prescribe the right medicine'." Xiong Yuan, chief economist of Guosheng Securities, said that many new ideas and expressions of the meeting directly pointed to various challenges that China's economy urgently needs to solve, and made a strong response to various problems. Xiong Yuan pointed out that the market can be more firm in policy strength and policy determination for at least one and a half years in the future. In the future, the imagination of policies is relatively large.South Korean President Yin Xiyue made a speech to the people on the 12th, accusing the opposition party of framing "the crime of civil strife" and engaging in impeachment. (Xinhua News Agency)The Economic Committee of the Colombian Congress rejected the tax reform proposed by the government to fund the 2025 budget.
In the first 11 months of the North Stock Exchange, the issuance scale of new shares decreased by nearly 770% year-on-year, and the new shares rose by over 100% on the first day. Statistics show that from January to November, 2024, there were 20 new shares listed on the North Stock Exchange, and the total amount of funds raised was about 4.175 billion yuan, down by nearly 70% year-on-year. The scale of new shares is generally small, and the number of new shares raised less than 200 million yuan accounts for 65% of the total number of new shares. The share price of 70% new shares rose over 100% on the first day of listing. Among them, the share price of Tongguan Mining Construction rose by 731.41% on the first day of listing, and the share prices of Shengye Electric, Keli and Wanyuantong rose by over 300% on the first day. In terms of underwriters, in the first November of 2024, the number of projects underwritten by CITIC Jiantou Securities was the highest, with a total project scale of about 699 million yuan, followed by First Venture Securities and Minsheng Securities. (Xinhua Finance)South Korea says economic and market uncertainties still exist.CITIC Securities: The resonance between supply and demand of medical beauty accelerates the space expansion, and the difference in operating ability promotes the evolution of the industry structure. CITIC Securities Research Report stated that the medical beauty industry has both medical and consumption attributes, and the medical attribute has strong product-driven characteristics, while the consumption attribute has high operating ability requirements. The medical beauty botulinum toxin track is also affected by the dual attributes of medicine and consumption: 1) The increase in penetration rate, the acceleration of compliance substitution and the extension of indications have brought about high demand for medical beauty botulinum toxin, and with the recent supply expansion, the industry scale has experienced high growth; 2) The iteration of product innovation is slow, brand barriers are created through marketing, doctors are empowered through direct sales, and control is strengthened to enhance product competitiveness. Recently, a variety of medical botulinum toxins in China have been approved, and the promotion of low-priced products is expected to push up the penetration rate, and enterprises with strong operational capabilities will enter the market or promote the evolution of the pattern.
Huatai Securities: It is expected that the Fed will cut interest rates by 25bp in December, but the path of interest rate cut in 2025 is highly uncertain. Huatai Securities said that the overall inflation in November in the United States was in line with expectations, and the slight cooling of service inflation partially eased the market's concerns about inflation rebound. It is expected that the Fed will cut interest rates by 25bp in December, but the path of interest rate cut in 2025 is highly uncertain. Recently, the overall economic momentum of the United States has rebounded: from September to November, the PMI of Markit manufacturing in the United States has rebounded for three consecutive months; After the election, enterprises, especially small enterprises, are expected to improve, and the recent NFIB SME confidence index has rebounded significantly; The latest Atlanta GDP Now shows that the fourth quarter GDP growth rate of the United States is 3.3% year-on-year. However, considering that the unemployment rate data rebounded in November, and the recent inflation is still relatively moderate, we expect that the recent data may not prevent the Fed from cutting interest rates at its December meeting next week. However, in 2025, the growth and inflation path of the United States was disturbed by the Trump policy, and the Federal Reserve may "make a camera choice" on the basis of watching the overall economic trend. There is uncertainty in the path of interest rate cut in 2025.CITIC Securities: There is no need to be overly pessimistic about the export of home appliances catalyzed by state subsidies. CITIC Securities Research Report said that domestically, the sales data of white electricity and black electricity continued to improve under the support of state subsidies. Externally, the overall export exposure of home appliance enterprises to the United States is relatively limited, so there is no need to be overly pessimistic. Looking forward to the future, the domestic demand stimulus policy is expected to be further overweight, and it is suggested to focus on white power enterprises that benefit from state subsidies; Optional sectors where domestic demand is expected to reverse (small household appliances, projection).The Economic Committee of the Colombian Congress rejected the tax reform proposed by the government to fund the 2025 budget.
Strategy guide 12-14
Strategy guide 12-14
Strategy guide 12-14